Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 369.019138 418.777797 474.030791 540.156694 617.432608 705.228176 813.015943
2025-10-26 286.829341 349.857556 426.107476 526.005431 654.701077 816.642245 1038.587834
2025-11-02 241.897301 309.415267 395.897351 516.416797 682.621946 907.649905 1242.151583
2025-11-09 218.921060 291.197728 388.269926 530.790277 739.195671 1040.081072 1521.189537
2025-11-16 196.569796 269.911721 372.311944 529.309528 770.512413 1138.479134 1765.660070
2025-11-23 177.324002 250.173841 355.329781 522.732087 791.348746 1221.811866 1999.411505
2025-11-30 163.893333 237.068309 346.000089 525.628971 825.986713 1330.621090 2295.467023
2025-12-07 149.616228 221.059698 330.253710 515.873756 837.612741 1401.241676 2535.273875
2025-12-14 138.624066 208.938882 319.110621 511.886999 857.772273 1488.817959 2824.011512
2025-12-21 125.707514 192.572462 299.490886 491.091917 844.896507 1512.829692 2988.048468
2025-12-28 121.269119 189.434253 301.139126 507.211548 901.406199 1677.816581 3487.788062
2026-01-04 118.142076 188.115106 305.587564 528.638669 970.690132 1879.662727 4120.140803
2026-01-11 111.871939 181.096320 299.770515 530.848333 1003.326121 2012.880874 4630.124585
2026-01-18 103.734137 170.231071 286.227354 516.892705 1001.091497 2070.037533 4964.597036
2026-01-25 97.074494 161.439414 275.643267 507.501189 1007.072622 2146.636462 5371.833358
2026-02-01 94.195456 159.152870 276.771318 521.581828 1065.996512 2358.559957 6222.996116
2026-02-08 89.566321 153.316734 270.700378 520.131310 1089.705932 2488.613377 6872.815122
2026-02-15 84.733977 146.752175 262.682768 513.687966 1100.872904 2588.731100 7461.291929
2026-02-22 81.362060 142.681666 259.171588 516.525827 1134.527040 2754.796516 8325.884814
2026-03-01 76.903635 136.237564 250.447711 506.969142 1136.412129 2834.178798 8916.442422
2026-03-08 73.374292 131.358304 244.505848 503.063331 1152.055479 2955.965771 9709.446142
2026-03-15 68.464357 123.483823 231.893027 482.688641 1122.515349 2939.965758 9966.426958
2026-03-22 67.364952 123.070300 234.687465 498.482666 1190.877651 3234.363029 11601.605832